The Probability of a Royal Flush in Video Poker

The video poker is one of the casino games that offer the potential to get a probability of an expected return of close to 100% from a video poker player playing with a good strategy and skills.

The video poker game does allow its players to enjoy a good pay out if video poker players are knowledgeable players who have mastered or at least become familiar with the basic mechanics of playing the game. Video poker machines are preferably played by some gamblers because of the easy way to calculate the probability of the game outcome by reading through the pay tables usually displayed on the machine itself.

Many video poker players are hopeful to draw a royal flush in the video poker game. The royal flush is a very valuable hand among video poker players who know that it can give them the best profit from playing the video poker game.

Video poker experts statistically determined the probability of hitting the royal flush in video poker. The result showed that the probability of a royal flush to occur is only once for every about 40,000 hand plays. This is a very pretty slim chance of hitting the royal flush by a video poker player but not totally impossible to occur.

The chance is slim to draw a royal flush since not many video poker players can stay long enough to play about an average of 40,000 hands in order to hit a royal flush. Video poker players are vying to hit the royal flush as the probability of winning bigger cash prizes is very high with this hand. However, video poker players have a lesser chance to get higher expected returns without the nice royal flushes to win.

The probability of getting a straight royal flush is determined this way: the video poker player is randomly dealt with 5 cards which are taken from the 52 card deck by the machine. The player gets the possibility of getting about 2,598,960 various hand plays. Only 4 from those hands can draw a hand of a royal flush that is 4 in each suit. This results to about an average of 1 royal straight flush to occur in every 649,740 hands to play.

Playing the game of video poker entitles a poker player to discard their original cards in favor of receiving new cards which increases the probability of getting a royal flush. The end result would be getting a probability of getting a royal flush once for every 40,000 hands to play by a player from the video poker machine instead of the 649,740 hand chances.

This probability however is based on the average play and any player can always enjoy the probability of hitting the royal flush sooner or it may take more than the 40,000 hands for a player to draw a royal flush.

This means that the video poker game can be highly volatile. In the long run its players can break even with the house advantage but with the high probability of getting a constant bankroll swing in the short run of playing the machine.

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